Trucking Turnaround Ahead?

According to American Trucking Associations’ Chief Economist Bob Costello, trucking’s “slow, and choppy climb off of the bottom continued in October.”

After hitting a low in January of this year, …”tonnage is up a total of 3%, plus the index is up sequentially in three of the last four months,“ Costello said, indicating that the freight market has improved – but very slowly – since January. It must be said that ATA’s indices are dominated by contract freight as opposed to spot rates.

Just a day ago, Covenant Logistics’ co-founder and CEO David Parker predicted that the peak season, which started a week ago, will see positive growth through the holiday season. This is the first time in three or four years that peak freight is trending upward.

Trucking economists are closely watching interest rate cuts. Traditionally, rate cuts presage an increase in buying by three to six months, which could mean a strong trucking uptick in March or April as both businesses and consumers are ramping up their purchasing. Trucking also serves as an economic barometer because trucks carry 72.6% of tonnage carried by all modes of domestic freight transportation, including manufactured and retail goods.

ICSA will continue to keep you informed on the economy as the U. S. transitions to a new president and administration.

ICSA DataQs Comments

02 September 2025

Federal Motor Carrier Safety Administration (FMCSA) Department of Transportation (DOT) Comments on Proposed Revisions to DataQs Requirements for MCSAP Grant Funding FMCSA-2023-0190

U.S. Senate Targets Cargo Theft

23 July 2025

Proposed legislation in both the U.S. Senate and the House of Representatives would provide resources to ensure cargo theft investigations are coordinated among and between federal, state and local jurisdictions.